About Our Football Predictions
FootballVis publishes free statistical predictions for football matches around the world, covering over 400 competitions. Every match page shows the probability of a home win, draw and away win, the most likely scoreline, bookmaker odds, recent form and head-to-head results.
Where the predictions come from
Fixtures, results, team statistics and odds come from API-Football, an established sports data provider. For each match we estimate how many goals each team is likely to score from its home or away scoring rate and the opponent's conceding rate, falling back to the last five matches early in a season.
A Poisson model turns those expected goals into the probability of every scoreline from 0-0 to 10-10. Adding them up gives the 1X2 probabilities, over/under 2.5 goals, both teams to score, double chance and the predicted score. Where the data provider publishes its own outlook, we blend it in (70% our model, 30% theirs).
How to read a prediction
- 1 / X / 2: probability of a home win, draw and away win.
- Tip: the most likely outcome in that market.
- Odds: the current Bet365 price for that exact tip, where available.
- Form dots: each team's last five results, oldest first.
Transparency
Results stay on every match page after full time, with a clear mark showing whether the tip won or lost, and the homepage shows the last seven days' hit rate. No prediction is guaranteed, and we never claim otherwise.
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