Alaves vs Malaga Prediction

Full time: Alaves 1-1 Malaga. Our pre-match tip was wrong.

Alaves host Malaga in the La Liga on 23 Oct 2026 at Estadio de Mendizorroza. Our model gives Alaves a 58% chance of winning, rates the draw at 27% and gives Malaga 15%. That makes Alaves the favourite, and our tip is Alaves to win with a predicted score of 1-0.

On goals, the model puts over 2.5 goals at 48% and both teams to score at 45%.

Suggested bet: Double chance: Alaves or draw.

Alaves have won 1, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 6 matches (LLDLLW). Malaga have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches (LDLLDD).

This is the first meeting between Alaves and Malaga in our records.