Derby vs Stoke City Prediction

Full time: Derby 0-1 Stoke City. Our pre-match tip was correct.

Derby host Stoke City in the Championship on 17 Oct 2026 at Pride Park Stadium. Our model gives Derby a 26% chance of winning, rates the draw at 30% and gives Stoke City 43%. That makes Stoke City the favourite, and our tip is Stoke City to win with a predicted score of 1-2.

On goals, the model puts over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams to score at 60%.

Suggested bet: Double chance: draw or Stoke City.

Derby have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 6 matches (LDDLLL). Stoke City have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (LWWWDW).

This is the first meeting between Derby and Stoke City in our records.