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Mexico · Liga MX · Apertura - 14

Leon vs Toluca Prediction

Kick-off · Estadio León

Leon
VS
Toluca

Our Tips

  • Free Tips40% chanceODDS: 2.00TIPS: Away Win
  • Solo Pick74% chanceODDS: 1.25TIPS: Home or Away
  • Over/Under Goals60% chanceODDS: 1.57TIPS: Over 2.5
  • Win Either Half54% chanceODDS: –TIPS: Home Win Either Half
  • Double Chance74% chanceODDS: 1.25TIPS: Home or Away
  • BTTS/GG62% chanceODDS: 1.50TIPS: GG (Yes)
  • Correct ScoreODDS: –TIPS: 1 - 2

Odds: Bet365. Prices change; check before betting.

Win Probability

  • Leon win: 34%
  • Draw: 26%
  • Toluca win: 40%

Match Preview

Leon host Toluca in the Liga MX on 24 Oct 2026 at Estadio León. Our model gives Leon a 34% chance of winning, rates the draw at 26% and gives Toluca 40%. That makes Toluca the favourite, and our tip is Toluca to win with a predicted score of 1-2.

On goals, the model puts over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.

Suggested bet: Double chance: Leon or draw.

Leon have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (WLDWDW). Toluca have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches (DDLLDL).

In their last 1 meeting,Leon won 0, Toluca won 1 and 0 ended in a draw.

Recent Form

Leon vs Toluca Head-to-Head

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