Newcastle vs Aston Villa Prediction

Full time: Newcastle 0-1 Aston Villa. Our pre-match tip was wrong.

Newcastle host Aston Villa in the Premier League on 17 Oct 2026 at St James' Park. Our model gives Newcastle a 47% chance of winning, rates the draw at 26% and gives Aston Villa 27%. That makes Newcastle the favourite, and our tip is Newcastle to win with a predicted score of 2-1.

On goals, the model puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.

Suggested bet: Double chance: Newcastle or draw.

Newcastle have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches (LWLWDW). Aston Villa have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (WDWWWL).

This is the first meeting between Newcastle and Aston Villa in our records.