Qarabag vs Neftchi Baku Prediction

Full time: Qarabag 3-3 Neftchi Baku. Our pre-match tip was wrong.

Qarabag host Neftchi Baku in the Premyer Liqa on 17 Oct 2026 at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Our model gives Qarabag a 40% chance of winning, rates the draw at 30% and gives Neftchi Baku 30%. That makes Qarabag the favourite, and our tip is Qarabag to win with a predicted score of 2-1.

On goals, the model puts over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 65%.

Suggested bet: Double chance: Qarabag or draw.

Qarabag have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (WWDWWL). Neftchi Baku have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches (DWWWLW).

This is the first meeting between Qarabag and Neftchi Baku in our records.