Sao Paulo vs Vasco DA Gama Prediction

Full time: Sao Paulo 1-0 Vasco DA Gama. Our pre-match tip was correct.

Sao Paulo host Vasco DA Gama in the Serie A on 18 Oct 2026 at Morumbi. Our model gives Sao Paulo a 40% chance of winning, rates the draw at 31% and gives Vasco DA Gama 30%. That makes Sao Paulo the favourite, and our tip is Sao Paulo to win with a predicted score of 1-0.

On goals, the model puts over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams to score at 51%.

Suggested bet: Double chance: draw or Vasco DA Gama.

Sao Paulo have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 6 matches (WLLWDL). Vasco DA Gama have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 6 matches (WDWWWW).

This is the first meeting between Sao Paulo and Vasco DA Gama in our records.